Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.51%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 19.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 3-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
61.51% | 19.12% | 19.36% |
Both teams to score 64.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.34% | 30.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.02% | 51.98% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% | 9.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.59% | 32.41% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% | 28.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% | 64.5% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 7.35% 1-0 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 4.28% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 1.99% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-2 @ 1.25% 4-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.82% Total : 61.51% | 1-1 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 2.79% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-1 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.18% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.15% Total : 19.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |