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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Alaves

Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Betis
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-0 Alaves

A scrappy 1-0 win would do Villarreal here, as it is a result and not a performance that they need most at this moment in time. Alaves are capable of making it an uncomfortable match, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to secure a much-needed three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlaves
49.29% (0.467 0.47) 25.05% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 25.66% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)50.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.023 -0.02)72.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.18599999999999 0.19)20.45% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (0.299 0.3)52.91% (-0.303 -0.3)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)34.23% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.372 -0.37)70.93% (0.36800000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 49.29%
    Alaves 25.66%
    Draw 25.05%
VillarrealDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
70.5%
Draw
18.2%
Alaves
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
Sep 30, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
3-1
Alaves
Alcacer (13', 67'), Moreno (45' pen.)
Mendez (36')
Laguardia (74'), Navarro (82')
(89')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
1-2
Villarreal
Joselu (80')
Ely (45'), Duarte (82')
Bacca (10'), Nino (89')
Quintilla (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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