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Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 30, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
3 - 1
Alaves

Alcacer (13', 67'), Moreno (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mendez (36')
Laguardia (74'), Navarro (82')
(89')

Preview: Villarreal vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga fixture between Villarreal and Alaves, including team news and predicted lineups.

Villarreal welcome Alaves to Estadio de la Ceramica on Wednesday evening looking to bounce back from their 4-0 defeat at Barcelona.

Meanwhile, Alaves head into the contest having only recorded one point from their opening three matches in La Liga this season.


Match preview

Arsenal manager Unai Emery on October 24, 2019© Reuters

While Unai Emery will be provided with plenty of time to get things right at Villarreal, the former Arsenal boss knows that his side have plenty of improvements to make in order to replicate last season's fifth-placed finish.

A 1-1 draw at home to newly-promoted Huesca was followed by a comeback victory over Eibar, results which would have provided supporters with little confidence ahead of the trip to Camp Nou on Sunday evening.

Despite Barcelona competing in their first game of the campaign, they blew away El Submarino Amarillo, netting all four goals before the break.

With a trip to Atletico Madrid to come at the weekend, Emery is now under pressure to get his side back on track in what will be regarded as a must-win fixture.

Gerard Moreno has had a hand in all three of Villarreal's goal this season, contributing two strikes and one assist.

Alaves head into this encounter having conceded just three goals in as many matches, but that has not been enough to keep them outside of the relegation zone.

Narrow defeats against Real Betis and Granada were followed by a goalless draw against Getafe on Saturday afternoon.

Alaves have now recorded just two wins and two draws in the 14 matches since the return to action in June, leaving Pablo Machin with a major job on his hands having been brought in as a replacement for Juan Muniz last month.

Lucas Perez is currently on a 11-game streak without a goal, almost a year to the day since he began a run of netting in seven matches in succession.

Villarreal La Liga form: DWL

Alaves La Liga form: LLD


Team News

Takefusa Kubo pictured for Real Madrid in July 2019© Reuters

Emery could choose to hand a first Villarreal start to Takefusa Kubo, who is on loan from Real Madrid.

Vicente Iborra is likely to get the nod over Francis Coquelin in the centre of midfield.

As for Alaves, Perez may drop out of the team to allow for Deyverson to be given another opportunity in attack.

Despite his recent return from injury, midfielder Manu Garcia is unlikely to be considered for a starting role until next month.

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Gaspar, Albiol, Torres, Estupinan; Kubo, Iborra, Parejo, Gomez; Alcacer, Moreno

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Lejeune, Laguarida, Duarte; Mendez, Pons, Battaglia, Rioja; Deyverson, Joselu


SM words green background

We say: Villarreal 2-1 Alaves

With Villarreal's confidence potentially being knocked by the setback at Camp Nou, this game could be closer than many are predicting. Nevertheless, the home side's extra quality should shine through against opponents who would be delighted if they were able to earn a share of the spoils.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.


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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid29226164204472
2Barcelona29197360342664
3GironaGirona29195559342562
4Athletic Bilbao29168550262456
5Atletico MadridAtletico29174854342055
6Real Sociedad291210742311146
7Real BetisBetis29101273433142
8Valencia28117103232040
9Villarreal29108114751-438
10Getafe2991193742-538
11Las PalmasLas Palmas29107122932-337
12Osasuna29106133343-1036
13AlavesAlaves2988132635-932
14Mallorca29612112535-1030
15Rayo Vallecano29611122538-1329
16Sevilla29610133644-828
17Celta Vigo2969143244-1227
18CadizCadiz29313132040-2022
19Granada2828183058-2814
20Almeria29110182857-2913


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