Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Alaves |
30.42% ( -0.01) | 27.85% | 41.73% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.13% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.44% ( -0.01) | 58.56% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.87% ( -0) | 79.13% ( 0) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% ( -0.01) | 34.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( -0.01) | 71.59% ( 0) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( -0) | 27.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% | 63.21% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |