Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
39.31% ( -0.1) | 27.89% ( -0.16) | 32.8% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.88% ( 0.63) | 58.12% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.22% ( 0.5) | 78.79% ( -0.49) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( 0.25) | 28.8% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% ( 0.31) | 64.66% ( -0.3) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% ( 0.52) | 32.91% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.52% ( 0.57) | 69.49% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |