Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 42.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Osasuna |
42.42% ( 0.22) | 29.65% ( -0.03) | 27.93% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 41.29% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.73% ( 0.02) | 65.27% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.92% ( 0.01) | 84.08% ( -0.01) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% ( 0.14) | 30.55% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( 0.16) | 66.78% ( -0.16) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.46% ( -0.15) | 40.54% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.85% ( -0.14) | 77.14% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 42.42% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.64% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 27.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |