Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Mallorca |
50.74% ( -0.07) | 25.82% ( -0.07) | 23.44% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 47.85% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.85% ( 0.37) | 55.15% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.61% ( 0.3) | 76.39% ( -0.3) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% ( 0.12) | 21.78% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.03% ( 0.18) | 54.97% ( -0.19) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.17% ( 0.34) | 38.83% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.44% ( 0.32) | 75.56% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.73% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 23.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |