Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
18.84% ( 0.64) | 27.15% ( 0.58) | 54% ( -1.22) |
Both teams to score 38.96% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.27% ( -1.08) | 63.73% ( 1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17% ( -0.78) | 82.99% ( 0.78) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.27% ( 0.12) | 48.73% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.24% ( 0.09) | 83.76% ( -0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( -1) | 24.01% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% ( -1.46) | 58.26% ( 1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.84% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 16.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.9% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |