Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
32.6% ( 0.09) | 27.63% ( 0.01) | 39.77% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 48.49% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.81% ( -0) | 57.19% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.95% ( -0) | 78.05% ( 0) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( 0.06) | 32.57% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( 0.07) | 69.1% ( -0.07) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( -0.06) | 28.09% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( -0.08) | 63.76% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |