Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
38.55% ( 0.22) | 28.02% ( -0.01) | 33.43% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( 0.03) | 58.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.02) | 79.09% ( -0.02) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% ( 0.15) | 29.44% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% ( 0.18) | 65.44% ( -0.18) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.32% ( -0.12) | 32.68% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.77% ( -0.14) | 69.23% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |