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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Villarreal logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Villarreal

Sancet (66')
Prados (10'), Williams (31'), Berchiche (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Parejo (90+5' pen.)
Albiol (34'), Comesana (35')
Comesana (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Villarreal

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with Villarreal in strong form, while Athletic are battling to break into the top four. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Sunday, but we are expecting the hosts to navigate their way to an important three points at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
60.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 21.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 18.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.77% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)42.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (0.0030000000000001 0)75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 60.01%
    Villarreal 18.25%
    Draw 21.72%
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.4%
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 60.01%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 18.25%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal

Athletic Bilbao
60.8%
Draw
31.4%
Villarreal
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Moreno (86'), Sorloth (87')
Gabbia (19'), Albiol (72'), Mandi (74'), Femenia (76')
Ruiz de Galarreta (2'), Williams (22'), Williams (30')
Williams (41'), de Marcos (44'), Garcia (89'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+2')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Villarreal
5-1
Athletic Bilbao
Baena (24', 90'), Jackson (37', 50'), Paredes (61' og.)
Capoue (1'), Parejo (45'), Torres (45+3'), Pedraza (58')
Sancet (45+3' pen.)
Paredes (54'), Herrera (54'), Williams (68')
Oct 30, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Villarreal
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Pedraza (60')
Pedraza (50'), Mandi (81')
Garcia (43')
Petxarroman (85'), Garcia (90'), Sancet (90+1')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Villarreal
Garcia (14'), Muniain (77' pen.)
Coquelin (32')
Foyth (55'), Moreno (76'), Estupinan (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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