Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
54.63% ( 0.19) | 23.45% ( -0.08) | 21.91% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% ( 0.2) | 47.29% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.49% ( 0.19) | 69.51% ( -0.19) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.81% ( 0.14) | 17.19% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.54% ( 0.25) | 47.46% ( -0.25) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.12% ( 0.01) | 35.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% ( 0.01) | 72.66% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 21.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |