Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
