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The Match

Match Report

Andriy Yarmolenko and Roman Yaremchuk scored for Ukraine in Bucharest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Championship clash between Ukraine and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ukraine could line up for their Euro 2020 encounter with North Macedonia on Thursday.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
UkraineDrawNorth Macedonia
37.38%25.71%36.91%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1%48.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01%70.99%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46%25.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59%60.41%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19%25.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23%60.77%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 37.38%
    North Macedonia 36.91%
    Draw 25.71%
UkraineDrawNorth Macedonia
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.91%

How you voted: Ukraine vs N. Macedonia

Ukraine
87.9%
Draw
6.3%
North Macedonia
5.8%
736
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
N. Macedonia
0-2
Ukraine

Brdarovski (45'), Zhuta (58')
Seleznyov (59' pen.), Kravets (87')
Khacheridi (9'), Sydorchuk (36')
Oct 12, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Ukraine
1-0
N. Macedonia
Sydorchuk (45')
Fedeckyj (42'), Sydorchuk (45'), Rotan (72'), Budkivsky (86')

Jahovic (30'), Damcevski (39'), Trajkovski (59'), Abdurahimi (63'), Velkoski (93')
rhs 2.0
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