Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
