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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
39.45% | 25.87% | 34.68% |
Both teams to score 54.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.24% | 49.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.23% | 71.77% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% | 24.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% | 59.41% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% | 27.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% | 63.03% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.45% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |