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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
32.36% | 25.26% | 42.38% |
Both teams to score 55.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% | 47.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% | 69.86% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% | 27.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% | 63.58% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% | 22.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% | 55.94% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |