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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 90.2%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 3.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
90.2% | 6.78% | 3.03% |
Both teams to score 47.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.38% | 18.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.85% | 36.15% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.61% | 2.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.67% | 11.33% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.34% | 51.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.22% | 85.78% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
3-0 @ 10.75% 4-0 @ 10.05% 2-0 @ 8.63% 5-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.11% 4-1 @ 6.64% 2-1 @ 5.7% 5-1 @ 4.97% 6-0 @ 4.68% 1-0 @ 4.62% 6-1 @ 3.09% 7-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 2.19% 7-1 @ 1.65% 5-2 @ 1.64% 8-0 @ 1.17% 6-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.89% Total : 90.18% | 1-1 @ 3.05% 2-2 @ 1.88% 0-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.61% Total : 6.78% | 1-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.02% Total : 3.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |