KNVB Beker | Final
Apr 18, 2021 at 5pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax2 - 1Vitesse
Gravenberch (23'), Openda (30'), Neres (90+1')
Tannane (63'), Toure (72'), Wittek (74'), Bero (90+3'), Tagliafico (90+5')
Rasmussen (86')
Tannane (63'), Toure (72'), Wittek (74'), Bero (90+3'), Tagliafico (90+5')
Rasmussen (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
| 57.72% | 20.54% | 21.74% |
| Both teams to score 62.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
