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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
60.15% | 21% | 18.84% |
Both teams to score 56.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.39% | 40.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.01% | 62.99% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.89% | 13.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.25% | 39.75% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.86% | 35.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.11% | 71.89% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 6.44% 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 3.42% 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.79% Total : 18.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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