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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
54.21% | 21.4% | 24.39% |
Both teams to score 63.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.89% | 35.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.89% | 57.12% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.91% | 13.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.3% | 39.7% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.97% | 27.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.61% | 62.39% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 6.49% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 4.24% 4-1 @ 3.3% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-1 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.85% Total : 24.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |