Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental
Universitario2 - 1LDU Quito
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universitario and LDU Quito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Universitario 1-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.
Result | ||
Universitario | Draw | LDU Quito |
57.3% ( -0.52) | 24.62% ( 0.05) | 18.08% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 43.98% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.58% ( 0.42) | 56.42% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.57% ( 0.34) | 77.43% ( -0.34) |
Universitario Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% ( -0.04) | 19.61% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.44% ( -0.06) | 51.56% ( 0.07) |
LDU Quito Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.71% ( 0.82) | 45.29% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.83% ( 0.64) | 81.16% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Universitario 57.3%
LDU Quito 18.08%
Draw 24.61%
Universitario | Draw | LDU Quito |
1-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.56% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.55% Total : 18.08% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 23:52:46
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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