MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 10:11:38| >> :600:11473342:11473342:
Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 1
Colo-Colo

Marquinhos (5'), Cano (52')
Melo (39'), Fabio (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Paiva (19')
Vidal (10'), Wiemberg (41'), Paiva (79')
Wiemberg (82')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Colo-Colo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Fluminense
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawColo-Colo
54.61% (0.023999999999994 0.02) 22.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 22.6% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (0.021999999999998 0.02)43.61% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)66% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (0.016999999999996 0.02)15.88% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (0.028000000000006 0.03)45.1% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)33.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 54.62%
    Colo-Colo 22.6%
    Draw 22.78%
FluminenseDrawColo-Colo
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 54.62%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.6%

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