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Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
2 - 0
Palestino

Pedro (21'), Ortiz (85')
Pulgar (67'), de la Cruz (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Linares (8'), Rojas (60'), Ceza (68'), Cornejo (70')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Flamengo
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 0-4 Bolivar
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 9.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawPalestino
72.91% (0.0040000000000049 0) 17.33% (0.0019999999999989 0) 9.76% (-0.0029000000000003 -0)
Both teams to score 44.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)44.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.56% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)34.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.29% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)50.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.86% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)85.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 72.9%
    Palestino 9.76%
    Draw 17.33%
FlamengoDrawPalestino
2-0 @ 13.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 72.9%
1-1 @ 8.22%
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 17.33%
0-1 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 9.76%

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