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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Independiente del Valle

Tolima
1 - 0
Independiente

Ibarguen (88')
Quinones (15'), Moya (23'), David Rios (28'), Plata (31'), Ibarguen (89'), Urena (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carabajal (33'), Ordonez (73')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

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Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Independiente del Valle

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Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Independiente vs. Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima in this match.

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawIndependiente del Valle
37.93%25.77%36.3%
Both teams to score 55.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85%49.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78%71.22%
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64%25.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84%60.16%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72%26.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61%61.39%
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 37.93%
    Independiente del Valle 36.3%
    Draw 25.76%
Deportes TolimaDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 9.14%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 36.3%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2022 3am
Independiente
2-2
Tolima
Sornoza (52', 89' pen.)
Chavez (33'), Segovia (67')
Lucumi (15'), Plata (41')
Ramirez (18'), Moya (28'), Marulanda (45+2'), Hernandez (63'), Dominguez (70')
Moya (45')
rhs 2.0
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