Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 19, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Banco del Pacífico
Emelec2 - 0Tolima
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Emelec and Deportes Tolima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
| 48.03% | 24.95% | 27.02% |
| Both teams to score 53.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
