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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Leeds logo

QPR
4 - 0
Leeds

Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-4 Leeds
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-3 Leeds United

Although the shorter recovery time could have a detrimental effect on Leeds, the manner of their win at Boro may have turned the tide in their favour. QPR are likely to push Leeds for large spells of this contest, yet we are backing the visitors to run out victors at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.11%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
23.69% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 23.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 53.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)44.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)66.61% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)16.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)46.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 23.69%
    Leeds United 53.11%
    Draw 23.18%
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.11%

How you voted: QPR vs Leeds

Queens Park Rangers
26.5%
Draw
13.2%
Leeds United
60.3%
219
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
Jan 6, 2019 2pm
Third Round
QPR
2-1
Leeds
Oteh (23' pen.), Bidwell (75')
Furlong (72'), Kakay (90')
Halme (25')
Halme (20'), Alioski (84'), Baker (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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