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Champions League header

Champions League
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celtic logo

Real Madrid
5 - 1
Celtic

Modric (6' pen.), Rodrygo (21' pen.), Asensio (51'), Junior (61'), Valverde (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jota (84')
O'Riley (20'), Furuhashi (47')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Celtic.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Celtic in the Champions League on Wednesday.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Girona
Sunday, October 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Celtic

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Livingston 0-3 Celtic
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Celtic

 After a slight blip from Ancelotti's men, we expect a professional performance here to get the job done in the Champions League. Los Blancos need a win to secure top spot, while Celtic are playing for nothing but pride, so we can see a solid, if unspectacular, win for the talent-stacked hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Celtic had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawCeltic
51.1% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 24.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)50.26% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (-0.035 -0.04)72.21% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)19.67% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)51.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)35.44% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.2% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 51.09%
    Celtic 24.18%
    Draw 24.71%
Real MadridDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.09%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24.18%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celtic

Real Madrid
87.7%
Draw
6.6%
Celtic
5.7%
422
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2022 8pm
Group F
Celtic
0-3
Real Madrid
Junior (56'), Modric (60'), Hazard (77')
rhs 2.0
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