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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
33.21% ( -0.13) | 23.84% ( 0.02) | 42.94% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 61.2% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.13% ( -0.18) | 40.86% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.74% ( -0.18) | 63.25% ( 0.18) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% ( -0.16) | 24.15% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.53% ( -0.23) | 58.46% ( 0.22) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% ( -0.03) | 19.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.93% ( -0.05) | 51.06% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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