MX23RW : Monday, May 13 01:42:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Mainz
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Onisiwo (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Gross (28'), Stage (42'), Ducksch (59'), Gruev (81'), Stark (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 3-1 Werder Bremen

Mainz have been blowing sides away in the league of late, scoring 10 goals in their games with Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach. Their next opponents are very much out-of-form, meaning a routine home win is potentially on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
56.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 21.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)32.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.63% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 56.38%
    Werder Bremen 21.76%
    Draw 21.85%
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Mainz vs Werder Bremen

Mainz 05
86.8%
Draw
7.9%
Werder Bremen
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!