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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Awoniyi (6'), Baumgartl (57')
Khedira (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nkunku (13')
Szoboszlai (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 RB Leipzig

Union's terrific home record, combined with Leipzig's awful away form, means we are predicting a home win for Union on Friday evening. Not many sides come away from the An der Alten Forsterei with the points, and also factoring in the visitors' troubles with COVID-19, Union will be confident of achieving the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
24.04%22.59%53.36%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83%41.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44%63.56%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39%30.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15%66.84%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55%15.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71%44.29%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 24.04%
    RB Leipzig 53.36%
    Draw 22.59%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.19%
1-0 @ 5.6%
2-0 @ 3.31%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 24.04%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-1 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 8.25%
1-3 @ 6.08%
0-3 @ 5.14%
2-3 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.4%
2-4 @ 1.68%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 53.36%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
48.6%
Draw
16.8%
RB Leipzig
34.6%
185
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Friedrich (67'), Kruse (90+2')
Trimmel (53'), Schlotterbeck (76')
Kluivert (55')
Sabitzer (25')
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
3-1
Union Berlin
Werner (51', 83'), Sabitzer (57')
Haidara (88')
Bulter (10')
Andersson (60'), Ryerson (71'), Parensen (80')
Aug 18, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 1
Union Berlin
0-4
RB Leipzig

Becker (82')
Halstenberg (16'), Sabitzer (31'), Werner (42'), Nkunku (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Werder Bremen32108144352-938
11Heidenheim31910124452-837
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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