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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
12.6% | 15.8% | 71.59% |
Both teams to score 60.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.8% | 28.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.01% | 48.98% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% | 34.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.42% | 71.57% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.05% | 6.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.52% | 25.48% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.59% 1-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.68% 2-0 @ 1.35% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.17% Total : 12.6% | 1-1 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.79% 0-0 @ 2.42% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.3% Total : 15.8% | 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 8.07% 0-3 @ 7.65% 0-1 @ 6.46% 1-4 @ 5.38% 0-4 @ 5.1% 2-3 @ 4.26% 1-5 @ 2.87% 2-4 @ 2.84% 0-5 @ 2.72% 2-5 @ 1.51% 1-6 @ 1.28% 0-6 @ 1.21% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.55% Total : 71.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
11 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |