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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Leipzig logo

FC Koln
1 - 5
RB Leipzig

Adamyan (18')
Finkgrafe (49'), Alidou (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simons (15'), Openda (63', 67'), Haidara (70'), Poulsen (82')
Simons (62'), Haidara (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-3 FC Koln
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig bounced back well from their Champions League disappointment last week and have an excellent opportunity to move into the top four in the league, with Dortmund taking on Frankfurt later in the weekend. Koln have lost three of their last four home games, and we feel they will struggle to avoid another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
29.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 47.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)38.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)25.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)60.16% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (0.028000000000006 0.03)46.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 29.38%
    RB Leipzig 47.63%
    Draw 22.99%
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.38%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: FC Koln vs RB Leipzig

FC Koln
10.4%
Draw
6.0%
RB Leipzig
83.6%
134
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
RB Leipzig
6-0
FC Koln
Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
2-2
FC Koln
Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Koln
1-1
RB Leipzig
Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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