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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
68.2% ( 0.09) | 17.17% ( -0.04) | 14.62% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 61.14% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.86% ( 0.08) | 30.14% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.64% ( 0.1) | 51.36% ( -0.1) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.89% ( 0.04) | 8.1% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.53% ( 0.1) | 28.46% ( -0.1) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.54% ( -0.01) | 33.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.9% ( -0.01) | 70.09% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 68.2% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.17% | 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 14.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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