Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Freiburg |
60.01% ( 0.2) | 20.47% ( 0.02) | 19.52% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 59.53% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.99% ( -0.42) | 37.01% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.8% ( -0.46) | 59.19% ( 0.45) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.97% ( -0.07) | 12.02% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.5% ( -0.16) | 37.49% ( 0.15) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( -0.47) | 32.33% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% ( -0.53) | 68.83% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.21% Total : 60.01% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |