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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.76%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
57.76% ( -0.69) | 20.89% ( 0.3) | 21.35% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 61.08% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( -0.94) | 36.36% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% ( -1.04) | 58.49% ( 1.03) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.55% ( -0.49) | 12.45% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.6% ( -1.03) | 38.39% ( 1.03) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( -0.2) | 30.23% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% ( -0.24) | 66.4% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.15% Total : 57.76% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 21.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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