MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 00:16:10| >> :600:110966:110966:
Molde logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Aker Stadion
Leverkusen logo

Molde
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Breivik (87')
Eriksen (42'), Fjortoft Lovik (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Frimpong (14'), Tella (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 4-0 Viking FK
Sunday, October 1 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Mainz 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Molde 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Molde showed plenty of quality in the opening Europa League group game, but this will be a different kind of test against one of the strongest teams in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen have made a perfect start to the season in all competitions, and with the attacking qualities that they have this should be a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawBayer Leverkusen
46.23% (0.112 0.11) 22.73% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 31.03% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 64.31% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.63% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)36.36% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.5% (-0.105 -0.11)58.5% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-0.123 -0.12)23.25% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.175 -0.17)57.17% (0.168 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Molde 46.23%
    Bayer Leverkusen 31.03%
    Draw 22.73%
MoldeDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 10% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.03%

How you voted: Molde vs B. Leverkusen

Molde
11.5%
Draw
12.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
76.0%
104
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!