MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 11:11:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 16, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 1
River Plate

Antoni (83'), Carneiro (87')
Polenta (53'), Izquierdo (65'), Carneiro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lavega (90+2')
Diaz (75'), Lavega (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Torque
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 River Plate
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
43.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.67% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.97% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.47% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)79.05% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.012 -0.01)26.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.09% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)35.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (0.004999999999999 0)72.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 43.35%
    River Plate 28.97%
    Draw 27.67%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 12.66%
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.35%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 28.97%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 8
River Plate
0-3
Nacional

Kidd (41'), Gargano (70'), Viera (88'), Cruz De los Santos (90+1')
Ramirez (23'), Bocanegra (49'), Carneiro (67')
Mar 26, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 8
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Montiel (38'), Zabala (53'), Candido (89')
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Jun 18, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Gigliotti (26'), Zabala (57'), Lozano (80')
Candido (66'), Rodriguez (71'), Coelho (84')
Candido (68')

Napoli (8'), Brunelli (30'), Pereira (63'), Ichazo (64')
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-1
River Plate
Ocampo (90')
Candido (75'), Rochet (81'), Fagundez (82'), Rodriguez (86'), Otormin (90+4')
Candido (81')

Alfonso (9'), Montiel (42'), Salaberry (45+2'), Pereira (49'), Diaz (51')
Salaberry (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol119202461829
2NacionalNacional1174024111325
3ProgresoProgreso117312316724
4Defensor SportingDefensor115422113819
5Cerro Largo115331310318
6Boston RiverBoston River115331513218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing114341716115
8DanubioDanubio113441214-213
9LiverpoolLiverpool112631717012
10River PlateRiver Plate113351517-212
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers113351216-412
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado113261215-311
13Rampla JuniorsRampla112361023-139
14CerroCerro111551121-108
15Miramar Misiones111461523-87
16FenixFenix11047515-104


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