Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Empoli |
40.1% | 24.45% | 35.45% |
Both teams to score 59.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.78% | 43.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.38% | 65.63% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% | 21.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.3% | 54.7% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% | 23.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.76% | 58.24% |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Empoli |
2-1 @ 8.69% 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |