Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
56.63% | 22.42% | 20.95% |
Both teams to score 55.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.04% | 43.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.66% | 66.34% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.68% | 15.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.94% | 44.06% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% | 34.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% | 71.67% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.63% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.35% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2% Total : 20.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |