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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Juventus
2 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (9'), Milik (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bastoni (11'), Holm (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Spezia

Though their squad feels particularly thin due to injuries, Juventus can continue their supremacy in this match-up of Serie A royalty with provincial hopefuls. It may not be pretty to watch, but the hosts have enough individual quality to decide the game in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawSpezia
69.99% (-0.244 -0.24) 18.22% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 11.78% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.26% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)42.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)64.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)10.96% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.81% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)35.18% (0.159 0.16)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (0.231 0.23)45.8% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.181 0.18)81.56% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 69.98%
    Spezia 11.78%
    Draw 18.22%
JuventusDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.22%
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.38% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.78%

How you voted: Juventus vs Spezia

Juventus
89.1%
Draw
9.2%
Spezia
1.7%
119
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Spezia
Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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