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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Empoli logo

Spezia
1 - 0
Empoli

N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henderson (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 5-1 Como
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Spezia 2-2 Empoli

Both sides have been in good goalscoring form over the past few weeks, and now the Serie A season kicks off, they can carry such potency into the opening day. As neither team is secure defensively, expect several goals in an eventful draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
43.19% (0.080000000000005 0.08) 26.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (0.087000000000003 0.09)52.85% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.073 0.07)74.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.079000000000008 0.08)24.28% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.11 0.11)58.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.18%
    Empoli 30.47%
    Draw 26.34%
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%

How you voted: Spezia vs Empoli

Spezia
42.1%
Draw
36.8%
Empoli
21.1%
57
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')
Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')
Jun 19, 2020 4.30pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')

Balkovec (43')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Empoli
1-1
Spezia
Frattesi (71')
Dezi (50'), Laribi (89')
Bidaoui (56')
Bartolomei (23'), Ferrer (47'), Capradossi (75'), Terzi (76'), Ricci (84')
Apr 7, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Lopez (16')
Piu (72')
Krunic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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