Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
17.12% | 21.04% | 61.84% |
Both teams to score 52.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.37% | 43.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.98% | 66.02% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.12% | 38.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.39% | 75.61% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% | 13.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.33% | 40.67% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 4.98% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.12% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 5.27% 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 0-2 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 3.13% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 3% Total : 61.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |