Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
67.97% | 17.73% | 14.29% |
Both teams to score 57.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.21% | 33.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.37% | 55.63% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.9% | 9.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.69% | 36.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.9% | 73.1% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.68% 3-0 @ 7.59% 4-1 @ 4.61% 4-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.21% 5-0 @ 2.18% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.79% Total : 67.97% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.31% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.73% | 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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