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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Rugby Park
Rangers logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Rangers

Stokes (6'), Wright (85')
Power (19'), Armstrong (35')
Armstrong (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morelos (23', 72'), Kent (51')
Morelos (36'), Kent (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Kilmarnock 0-2 Rangers

Kilmarnock have performed much better on home soil so far this term and they will fancy their chances of causing an upset on Wednesday. However, Rangers head to Rugby Park as favourites despite their recent record in East Ayrshire, and they should have enough quality in their side to secure a routine victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRangers
15.82% (0.0039999999999996 0) 20.74% (0.0030000000000001 0) 63.43% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)67.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.69% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)40.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 15.82%
    Rangers 63.42%
    Draw 20.74%
KilmarnockDrawRangers
1-0 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 4.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.82%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.74%
0-2 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 7.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-5 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 63.42%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Rangers

Kilmarnock
28.2%
Draw
7.7%
Rangers
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Rangers
2-0
Kilmarnock
Colak (51'), Morelos (88')

Taylor (14'), Donnelly (38'), McKenzie (49'), Armstrong (82'), Murray (85'), Cameron (86')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Kilmarnock
0-1
Rangers

Waters (23'), Tshibola (41'), Power (90')
Tavernier (19' pen.)
Barisic (44'), Goldson (70'), Davis (83')
Aug 22, 2020 3pm
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
2-1
Rangers
O'Donnell (77'), Brophy (88')
Dicker (16'), Power (44'), Kabamba (87')
Arfield (32')
Kent (44'), Morelos (57'), McGregor (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic330087285987
2RangersRangers320179275281
3Hearts311149371266
4Kilmarnock31114538755
5St Mirren31024247-546
6Dundee30034662-1641
Relegation Group
1Motherwell32015554143
2Hibernian21014854-642
3Aberdeen22003749-1241
4Ross County31023564-2933
5St Johnstone30032652-2631
RLivingston32012764-3724
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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