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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Easter Road
Livingston logo

Hibernian
4 - 0
Livingston

Nisbet (33'), Cadden (35'), Magennis (40', 50')
Porteous (17'), Newell (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Shinnie (17'), Pittman (24'), Longridge (46'), Devlin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 3-2 Hibernian
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Livingston
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 1-1 Livingston

In a match with significant consequences in the battle for the European slots, we expect a tight affair that could go right to the wire between two even teams. This will be reflected on the day, as both sides will be inseparable on the day and have to settle for a point apiece at Easter Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawLivingston
60.49% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 23.23% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 16.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 44.45% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.502 -0.5)53.95% (0.494 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.423 -0.42)75.4% (0.416 0.42)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-0.164 -0.16)17.5% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)48.01% (0.271 0.27)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.88% (-0.484 -0.48)46.12% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.18% (-0.378 -0.38)81.81% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 60.47%
    Livingston 16.27%
    Draw 23.22%
HibernianDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 12.25% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.12% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 60.47%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.155 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 16.27%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Livingston

Hibernian
41.9%
Draw
22.6%
Livingston
35.5%
31
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-1
Hibernian
Nouble (6'), Obileye (86')
Montano (52')
Kenneh (51')
Boyle (52'), Cabraja (80')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
Pittman (57')
Pittman (86'), Holt (90+2'), Kelly (90+4')

Melkersen (51'), Henderson (90+2')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
2-3
Livingston
Mitchell (6'), Cadden (32')
Murphy (79')
Obileye (18'), Fitzwater (53'), Forrest (59')
Holt (76')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
McMillan (16')
Stryjek (17'), Omeonga (49'), Penrice (50')

McGinn (36'), Doyle-Hayes (55'), Hanlon (61')
McGinn (85'), Hanlon (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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