Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
42.68% ( 0.04) | 24.33% ( -0) | 32.99% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.38% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.78% ( 0.01) | 43.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.38% ( 0.01) | 65.61% ( -0.01) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.6% ( 0.02) | 20.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.17% ( 0.03) | 52.82% ( -0.03) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( -0.02) | 25.4% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.79% ( -0.02) | 60.21% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 42.68% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |