Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
57.91% ( 0.39) | 22.8% ( -0.12) | 19.3% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% ( 0.14) | 47.84% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% ( 0.13) | 70.02% ( -0.13) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( 0.18) | 16.24% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( 0.33) | 45.76% ( -0.33) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.13% ( -0.21) | 38.87% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.4% ( -0.2) | 75.6% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |