Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
39.05% ( 0.01) | 25.57% ( 0) | 35.38% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% ( -0.02) | 48.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.02) | 70.52% ( 0.02) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( -0) | 24.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% ( -0) | 58.83% ( 0.01) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% ( -0.02) | 26.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.38% ( -0.03) | 61.62% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |