Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Glebe Park
Brechin2 - 2Hearts U21s
Macleod (22'), McGrath (36')
Loudon (35')
Loudon (35')
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Kirk (76' pen.), Friel (80')
Drysdale (35'), Friel (45+1')
Rathie (34')
Drysdale (35'), Friel (45+1')
Rathie (34')
Brechin win 5-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Brechin City and Hearts Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Clyde 1-2 Brechin
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Clyde | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | East Fife | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Elgin | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Forfar | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Peterhead | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Spartans | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Stenhousemuir | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Stranraer | 0 | nan |
Last Game: Hearts U21s 2-3 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Clyde | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | East Fife | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Elgin | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Forfar | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Peterhead | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Spartans | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Stenhousemuir | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Stranraer | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brechin City win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brechin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.64%). The likeliest Hearts Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%).
| Result | ||
| Brechin City | Draw | Hearts Under-21s |
45.96% ( 2.99) | 21.9% ( 0.09) | 32.14% ( -3.07) |
| Both teams to score 68.08% ( -1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
